WTI's sharp intraday loss resets the oil market to $94 a barrel, but three unresolved variables — the April 10 Islamabad negotiations, Israel's Lebanon operation, and the unaccepted terms of Iran's 10-point proposal — keep both the April 21 deadline and the price in play
The alliance on Sunday endorsed in principle the same quota increment as April, but Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq cannot execute it while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent touched a four-year high of $119.50 this week; JPMorgan warns prices could top $150 if the strait stays blocked through mid-May
Analysts warn that a violent disruption could temporarily reduce supply, affecting heavy crude prices and benchmarks such as Dubai versus Brent, as the global market would rely more heavily on substitutes from Canada or the U.S. Gulf of Mexico
