Lucía Martínez

Iran Strikes Al Jubail: IRGC Missiles and Drones Hit World's Largest Petrochemical Complex
War in the Middle East

Iran Strikes Al Jubail: IRGC Missiles and Drones Hit World's Largest Petrochemical Complex

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ballistic missiles and drones struck Al Jubail Industrial City on Monday, igniting fires at SABIC facilities as Brent crude traded near $110/barrel — up nearly 80% year-to-date. JPMorgan warns of direct fuel shortages across South and Southeast Asia. Approximately 50 Qatari LNG tankers remain idle in Asian ports.

OPEC+ Approves 206,000 bbl/d May Increase Its Gulf Members Cannot Execute
Prices reflect that scale

OPEC+ Approves 206,000 bbl/d May Increase Its Gulf Members Cannot Execute

The alliance on Sunday endorsed in principle the same quota increment as April, but Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq cannot execute it while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Brent touched a four-year high of $119.50 this week; JPMorgan warns prices could top $150 if the strait stays blocked through mid-May

Pluspetrol Sells Two More Vaca Muerta Blocks: Who Is the U.S. Buyer?
Maximize its position in the highest-productivity blocks

Pluspetrol Sells Two More Vaca Muerta Blocks: Who Is the U.S. Buyer?

The company has sold its operating stakes in Los Toldos I Sur and Pampa de las Yeguas I to a U.S.-backed buyer — completing a 15-month portfolio reset that began the day it closed its $1.75 billion acquisition of ExxonMobil's Argentine subsidiary in December 2024

ADNOC Gas Cuts LNG Output as Hormuz Blockade Traps Das Island Tanker Traffic
Abu Dhabi's state oil company

ADNOC Gas Cuts LNG Output as Hormuz Blockade Traps Das Island Tanker Traffic

ADNOC's LNG subsidiary disclosed "temporary operational adjustments" at its 6 MTPA Das Island plant after navigation disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz — making it the second major Gulf LNG exporter to report output cuts in three weeks, following Iranian missile strikes on QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan liquefaction infrastructure

JPMorgan issues a cautious outlook on the global economy.
War in the Middle East

Energy: JPMorgan warns demand destruction has already begun (and models aren’t measuring it properly)

In an Oil Flash Note, the bank’s Global Markets Strategy team estimated that the price effect of crude on global demand would trim just 1 million barrels per day in April. But there is a second form of demand destruction that standard elasticity does not capture: the one that occurs when physical inputs simply do not arrive. JPMorgan documented it company by company in Asia and concluded it is already underway.